Current Election Trend for France
RN
28.0
EN
17.0
PS
10.0
EELV
9.0
LR
8.0
REC
6.5
LFI
6.0
PCF
3.0
PRG
3.0
EAC
2.5
DLF
2.0
PA
1.5
Sonst.
3.5
Development since the last election on 19.06.2022
Political orientation
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in France is expected to take place in 2027.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 17.6% of the votes.
Who is leading in the election trend in France?
In the current election trend in France, Rassemblement national leads with 28%. This is a significant increase of +10.7 percentage points since the last election.
Ensemble reaches 17%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election (-21.6).
Parti socialiste reaches 10%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().
Les Verts reaches 9%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().
Les Républicains reaches 8% and thus maintains the level of the last election (+1.0 percentage points).
Reconquête reaches 6.5%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().
La France insoumise reaches 6%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().
Parti communiste français reaches 3%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().
Parti radical de gauche reaches 3%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().
EAC reaches 2.5%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().
Debout la France reaches 2%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().
Animaliste reaches 1.5%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().
3.5% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).
Which polls were considered in the election trend?
For the election trend, polls from various polling institutes from the last 3 months were analyzed. The latest poll from each institute was considered, and then, taking into account various factors, it was recalculated into a weighted average. The election trend is therefore more robust against outliers from individual institutes and provides a quick overview of the political mood in the country.
What values do the small parties have?
Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.
Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.
Could the government stay in office?
If there were an election this Sunday in France, the government from Ensemble would secure 17.6% of the virtual seats. The government could thus not remain in office.
Which parties would enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 12 parties could enter parliament: Rassemblement national, Ensemble, Parti socialiste, Les Verts, Les Républicains, Reconquête, La France insoumise, Parti communiste français, Parti radical de gauche, EAC, Debout la France and Animaliste reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.
To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.
Are non-voters considered in the election trend?
When presenting election polls and results, non-voters are not considered: the votes cast for a party are calculated in relation to the number of valid second votes cast. Non-voters as well as invalid votes (including blank votes) are ignored. For comparison: In the last election, the voter turnout was 46.2% - 53.8% of the eligible population were non-voters or cast invalid votes.
Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?
To make parties comparable across borders and provide a quick overview of political events, we show the rough political orientation of parties. These are rough categorizations and can never capture all the positions of the parties. The respective election programs of the parties provide a complete overview of their positions.
Current Election Trend for EU-Parliament
France
· 81 / 720 seats
EU-Parliament
RN
31.2
EN
16.1
PS
13.5
LFI
8
LR
6.9
EELV
6.2
REC
6.2
PCF
2.3
AR
1.5
PA
1.2
EAC
1.2
LP
1.1
LO
1.1
UPR
1.1
Others
2.4
Latest polls for France
Ifop
· 4 months ago
4 months ago
Open Details
RN
28
EN
17
PS
10
EELV
9
LR
8
REC
6.5
LFI
6
PCF
3
PRG
3
EAC
2.5
DLF
2
PA
1.5
LP
0.5
LO
0.5
R!
0.5
UPR
0.5
Others
1.5
Open Details
Ifop-Fiducial
· 10 months ago
10 months ago
Open Details
RN
26
EN
20
LR
11
PS
9
EELV
9
LFI
8
REC
7
DLF
4
PCF
4
LO
1
Others
1
Open Details
Cluster17
· 1 year ago
1 year ago
Open Details
EN
25
NUPES
24.5
RN
20
LR
10.5
REC
5
DLF
2
LO
1.5
Others
11.5
Open Details
What is the latest poll for France?
The latest poll for the election in France was published by Ifop. The parties achieve the following values: Rassemblement national 28%, Ensemble 17%, Parti socialiste 10%, Les Verts 9%, Les Républicains 8%, Reconquête 6.5%, La France insoumise 6%, Parti communiste français 3%, Parti radical de gauche 3%, EAC 2.5%, Debout la France 2%, Animaliste 1.5%, Les Patriotes 0.5%, Lutte Ouvrière 0.5%, Résistons! 0.5% and Union populaire républicaine 0.5%.
Coalitions
577
LFI
36
PCF
18
PA
9
PS
60
EELV
53
PRG
18
EAC
15
EN
102
LR
48
RN
167
DLF
12
REC
39
Majority requires 289 seats
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Les Républicains
317
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Reconquête
308
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Parti communiste français + Parti radical de gauche
305
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + La France insoumise
305
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Parti communiste français + EAC
302
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Parti radical de gauche + EAC
302
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Parti communiste français + Debout la France
299
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Parti radical de gauche + Debout la France
299
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + EAC + Debout la France
296
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Parti communiste français + Animaliste
296
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Parti radical de gauche + Animaliste
296
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + EAC + Animaliste
293
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Debout la France + Animaliste
290
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Parti communiste français
287
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Parti radical de gauche
287
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + EAC
284
Which coalitions are currently possible in France?
In current election polls, various coalitions would be possible: Coalition from Rassemblement national, Ensemble and Les Républicains, Coalition from Rassemblement national, Ensemble and Reconquête, Coalition from Rassemblement national, Ensemble, Parti communiste français and Parti radical de gauche, Coalition from Rassemblement national, Ensemble and La France insoumise, Coalition from Rassemblement national, Ensemble, Parti communiste français and EAC, Coalition from Rassemblement national, Ensemble, Parti radical de gauche and EAC, Coalition from Rassemblement national, Ensemble, Parti communiste français and Debout la France, Coalition from Rassemblement national, Ensemble, Parti radical de gauche and Debout la France, Coalition from Rassemblement national, Ensemble, EAC and Debout la France, Coalition from Rassemblement national, Ensemble, Parti communiste français and Animaliste, Coalition from Rassemblement national, Ensemble, Parti radical de gauche and Animaliste, Coalition from Rassemblement national, Ensemble, EAC and Animaliste and Coalition from Rassemblement national, Ensemble, Debout la France and Animaliste each achieve a majority in parliament.
Information on the Coalition Overview
The overview of possible coalitions for the election in France shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.
The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).
Election trend by party at a glance
| Party | 30 days | 3 months | 6 months | 12 months | Since election |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rassemblement national | ±0.0 | ±0.0 | +2.0 | +8.0 | +10.7 |
| Ensemble | ±0.0 | ±0.0 | ±0.0 | -8.0 | -21.6 |
| Parti socialiste | ±0.0 | ±0.0 | +1.0 | ±0.0 | +10.0 |
| Les Verts | ±0.0 | ±0.0 | ±0.0 | ±0.0 | +9.0 |
| Les Républicains | ±0.0 | ±0.0 | -3.0 | -2.5 | +1.0 |
| Reconquête | ±0.0 | ±0.0 | -0.5 | +1.5 | +6.5 |
| La France insoumise | ±0.0 | ±0.0 | -2.0 | ±0.0 | +6.0 |
| Parti communiste français | ±0.0 | ±0.0 | -1.0 | ±0.0 | +3.0 |
| Parti radical de gauche | ±0.0 | ±0.0 | ±0.0 | ±0.0 | +3.0 |
| EAC | ±0.0 | ±0.0 | ±0.0 | ±0.0 | +2.5 |
| Debout la France | ±0.0 | ±0.0 | -2.0 | ±0.0 | +2.0 |
| Animaliste | ±0.0 | ±0.0 | ±0.0 | ±0.0 | +1.5 |
Show more
France — National parliament voting intention
EN LR RN LFI PS EELV REC PCF PRG EAC DLF PA Sonst. LO LREM–Modem NUPES UDC DVG Regio. DVD UPF LR/UDI UDI R! NPA UPR Agir
Information on the Development of the Election Trend
The line chart provides an overview of the development of the election trend in France in recent years. For this, the current election trend is recorded as a data point every Sunday and added to the chart. The course of the poll values can reveal short-term and long-term trends in polls and election polls. The last election in France took place on 19.06.2022.
Government and parliament
Emmanuel Macron
Head of state
Gabriel Attal
Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 577
Government & opposition
Government : 244
Opposition : 333
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 153
Right-leaning parties : 163
Which parties are in the parliament of France?
In the parliament of France, there are 577 representatives from 9 parties. 244 representatives are part of the government from Ensemble. The opposition from NUPES, Rassemblement national, Les Républicains, Divers gauche, Regionalists, Divers droite, UDI and Sonstige Parteien has 333 representatives.
153 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 163 representatives are politically more right-leaning.
Who governs in France?
Gabriel Attal governs in France with a coalition of Ensemble. The head of state is Emmanuel Macron.
Parliamentary election in France 2027
The Parliamentary election in France 2027 will probably take place in 2027. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.
Gabriel Attal is currently governing with a website.coalition-orientation-other of Ensemble and Mouvement démocrate. In the last Parliamentary election in France in 2022, Ensemble (38.6% - 244 seats), NUPES (31.6% - 131 seats), Rassemblement national (17.3% - 89 seats), Les Républicains (7% - 61 seats), Divers gauche (2.1% - 22 seats), Regionalists (1.3% - 10 seats), Divers droite (1.1% - 10 seats), UDI (0.3% - 3 seats) and Sonstige Parteien (0.7% - 7 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was 46.2%.
FAQ
When is the next election in France?
The next election in France is expected to take place in the year 2027.
Who is the president of France?
The head of state of France is Emmanuel Macron.
Who governs in France?
Gabriel Attal governs in France with a coalition of Ensemble.
What is the latest poll for France?
The latest poll for the election in France was published by Ifop. The parties achieve the following values: Rassemblement national 28%, Ensemble 17%, Parti socialiste 10%, Les Verts 9%, Les Républicains 8%, Reconquête 6.5%, La France insoumise 6%, Parti communiste français 3%, Parti radical de gauche 3%, EAC 2.5%, Debout la France 2%, Animaliste 1.5%, Les Patriotes 0.5%, Lutte Ouvrière 0.5%, Résistons! 0.5% and Union populaire républicaine 0.5%.
Which parties are in the parliament of France?
In the parliament of France, there are 577 representatives from 9 parties. 244 representatives are part of the government from Ensemble. The opposition from NUPES, Rassemblement national, Les Républicains, Divers gauche, Regionalists, Divers droite, UDI and Sonstige Parteien has 333 representatives.
